Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.027727 0.029919 0.032119 0.034487 0.036963 0.039470 0.042199
2025-10-19 0.023665 0.027096 0.030661 0.034627 0.038900 0.043351 0.048325
2025-10-26 0.021849 0.026043 0.030503 0.035569 0.041133 0.047028 0.053720
2025-11-02 0.019953 0.024665 0.029783 0.035702 0.042310 0.049413 0.057579
2025-11-09 0.018281 0.023377 0.029017 0.035648 0.043157 0.051329 0.060828
2025-11-16 0.016783 0.022167 0.028234 0.035477 0.043785 0.052929 0.063661
2025-11-23 0.015414 0.021011 0.027431 0.035204 0.044230 0.054265 0.066149
2025-11-30 0.014288 0.020072 0.026816 0.035091 0.044807 0.055709 0.068720
2025-12-07 0.013006 0.018869 0.025825 0.034478 0.044754 0.056391 0.070391
2025-12-14 0.011754 0.017633 0.024735 0.033691 0.044449 0.056743 0.071646
2025-12-21 0.010684 0.016569 0.023802 0.033047 0.044272 0.057208 0.073002
2025-12-28 0.010362 0.016450 0.024025 0.033795 0.045743 0.059592 0.076581
2026-01-04 0.009563 0.015715 0.023508 0.033693 0.046278 0.060985 0.079145
2026-01-11 0.008845 0.015064 0.023087 0.033712 0.046975 0.062597 0.082012
2026-01-18 0.008579 0.015007 0.023413 0.034654 0.048789 0.065531 0.086435
2026-01-25 0.008011 0.014495 0.023117 0.034783 0.049584 0.067236 0.089394
2026-02-01 0.007420 0.013912 0.022697 0.034730 0.050134 0.068630 0.091974
2026-02-08 0.006835 0.013300 0.022209 0.034561 0.050519 0.069811 0.094290
2026-02-15 0.006260 0.012667 0.021663 0.034293 0.050759 0.070798 0.096361
2026-02-22 0.005781 0.012149 0.021251 0.034182 0.051182 0.072000 0.098685
2026-03-01 0.005184 0.011406 0.020492 0.033579 0.050952 0.072378 0.099994
2026-03-08 0.004586 0.010617 0.019631 0.032805 0.050476 0.072430 0.100886
2026-03-15 0.004077 0.009934 0.018892 0.032172 0.050160 0.072663 0.101987